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• Europe Can Have Stimulus or Rule of Law, Not Both



(Bloomberg Opinion) -- More by carelessness than design, the European Union has conflated two of its biggest problems into what this week became one hot mess. To get out of it, the bloc may have to make the Brussels equivalent of Sophie?s choice: It could sacrifice the principle that all member states must respect the rule of law. Or it could ditch its plans for economic recovery and fiscal cohesion.This trap was laid in July. Under the moderation of Germany, which holds the rotating EU presidency, the 27 national leaders tentatively agreed to a groundbreaking budget-plus-stimulus deal to address the pandemic. Worth 1.8 trillion euros ($2.1 trillion) in total, the package includes 750 billion euros to be financed by the first ?European? bonds ever issued, which is why it?s considered the germ of a future fiscal union. But it still has to be accepted by the European Parliament and ratified by all member states.To get that initial agreement, its drafters added some vague wording about conditionality. The aim was to link any receipts of EU money to upholding the rule of law. Broadly defined, this term includes everything from an independent judiciary and a free press to other basics of liberal democracy, as enshrined in the EU?s treaties. Uncontroversial, you might think.Those phrases entered the text to give the naysayer countries a reason to support the overall package. Its critics, dubbed the ?frugals,? are the Dutch, Austrians and Scandinavians, who aren?t crazy about joint borrowing and spending. So the language to tie funds to rule of law was a motivation for them to nod the deal through. The conditionality clause?s obvious targets are Hungary, which has been dismantling democratic norms for a decade, and Poland, which has been at it for five years. The EU has no mechanism for expelling member states. But it has initiated so-called Article 7 probes into both countries, which could in theory deprive them of their voting rights in Brussels. In reality, there are so many hurdles before such an outcome that the populist regimes in Budapest and Warsaw simply ignore the proceedings.That?s why the ?frugals? and several other member states, cheered on by the European Parliament and Commission, wanted to add a new mechanism to discipline Hungary and Poland. They meant to revive a proposal from 2018, whereby the Commission could impose punishments against errant countries unless a qualified majority ? usually 55% of member states representing at least 65% of the EU?s population ? rejects the sanctions. Budapest and Warsaw could never have mustered that much support to veto their own censure.A proposal this week from Germany dilutes this idea beyond recognition, however. Sanctions must now be accepted, instead of rejected, by a qualified majority. Hungary, Poland and a few eastern European allies could easily get a blocking minority.Moreover, any proposed punishment must relate directly to transgressions that compromise the use of EU funds ? if corruption sends the money to the wrong accounts, for example. A wider deterioration from democracy to autocracy, which is how the U.S. think tank Freedom House describes Hungary?s development, would no longer qualify.It?s easy to see, if still unfortunate, why Germany would go wobbly like this. Chancellor Angela Merkel sees the next few months as her last chance to leave a positive European legacy. She needs this pandemic fund done and dusted, and can?t risk a veto by Hungary or Poland.The Commission, too, is between a rock and a hard place. It must point out that Budapest and Warsaw violate the letter and spirit of the EU?s treaties, and yet it can?t be seen to single them out. So this week it published a report on the rule of law in all 27 states. It has concerns about various places, from Bulgaria and Romania to Spain and Malta. But those are as nothing next to worries about Poland and Hungary, which Vera Jourova, a Commissioner, last week called a ?sick democracy.?Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has theatrically demanded Jourova?s resignation and claimed that she was insulting all Hungarians. His goal, as ever, is to whip up support at home by demonizing Brussels.Meanwhile, the ?frugals,? who didn?t like the stimulus and borrowing plan to begin with, are horrified that rule of law is no longer a priority. Many members of the European Parliament are even more irate and threatening the deal?s rejection. Suddenly, the EU has reverted to stereotype, with everybody bickering, lots of people prepared to cast sulky vetoes, and paralysis looking distinctly possible.My prediction is that Merkel, as is her wont, will still pull off the deal in the end. But it will come at a cost that will become clear only later. The EU, which claims to draw strength from its humanitarian and democratic values, has forfeited enforcing those standards internally, and appears ready to surrender them when they?re inconvenient. Earlier this year, I worried that the EU could gradually become irrelevant in world history. This week hasn?t exactly cheered me up.This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Andreas Kluth is a columnist for Bloomberg Opinion. He was previously editor in chief of Handelsblatt Global and a writer for the Economist. He's the author of "Hannibal and Me." For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinionSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.




• In Appalachia, people watch COVID-19, race issues from afar



The water, so cold that it nearly hurts, spills relentlessly into a concrete trough from three pipes driven into a hillside near the edge of town. For years, Tarah Nogrady has filled plastic jugs here and lugged them back to a town so small it rarely appears on maps. It?s a common view in the little towns that speckle the Appalachian foothills of southeast Ohio, where the pandemic has barely been felt.




• 25 years after UN women's meeting, equality remains distant



Twenty-five years ago, the world?s nations came together to make sure that half of Earth's population gained the rights, power and status of the other half. In today's more divided, conservative and still very male-dominated world, top U.N. officials say the hope of achieving equality for women remains a distant goal. ?Gender inequality is the overwhelming injustice of our age and the biggest human rights challenge we face,? U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has said.




• Michael Kors? Watch Hunger Stop Campaign Features Employees


• How the FBI Became a Target of Russian Disinformation



(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Almost a year ago, a former Russia specialist on the National Security Council warned Congress about Russia?s nefarious intentions in American politics. The goal of the Russians in 2016, Fiona Hill told the House Intelligence Committee, was to put whoever became president ?under a cloud.?Not only did the Russians succeed ? it was overcast before President Donald Trump even took office ? but they also managed to damage the credibility and reputation of the very agency that is supposed to protect against foreign interference in U.S. elections: the Federal Bureau of Investigation.In her testimony last year, Hill warned that the opposition research commissioned by the Democratic Party against Trump and later used by the FBI to obtain a surveillance warrant against a campaign official named Carter Page would be a ?perfect opportunity? for the Kremlin to inject disinformation into American political discourse. On Friday, the Justice Department declassified documents that show the FBI investigated the primary source of the dossier for being a Russian agent.One of those documents is a summary of the bureau?s investigation into a researcher at the Brookings Institution in 2009 and 2010. It says that in late 2008 he approached other researchers there who were joining the incoming administration of Barack Obama and asked if they wanted to make ?a little extra money? once they were in their new positions and had access to classified information. The FBI later learned that in 2006 the primary source had contacts with ?known Russian intelligence officers? at the Russian embassy in Washington.In 2010, the FBI closed its investigation because the primary source ?had apparently left the United States.? But the bureau left open the prospect of reopening the probe if the primary source ever returned to the U.S.These facts alone are not dispositive. The former British spy who compiled the opposition research dossier on Trump?s campaign, Christopher Steele, has said that he is able to distinguish between real and fake information. It?s also possible that his source, the former Brookings Institution researcher, was acting as a kind of double agent. That said, ?much of the material? in Steele?s reporting could not be corroborated, wrote Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz in his scathing 2019 report. ?The limited information that was corroborated related to time, location, and title information, much of which was publicly available,? he said. When the Justice Department declassified the three-day interview with Steele?s primary source, it showed that he had disavowed much of the information in Steele?s dossier.There were other signs that Steele was being played. Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe informed the Senate Judiciary Committee this week that the U.S. government received a report that Russian intelligence surmised in July 2016 that ?Hillary Clinton had approved a campaign plan to stir up a scandal against U.S. Presidential candidate Donald Trump by tying him to Putin and the Russians? hacking of the Democratic National Committee.? Ratcliffe says the intelligence community ?does not know the accuracy of this allegation or the extent to which the Russian intelligence analysis may reflect exaggeration or fabrication.?Nonetheless, it was important enough for then-CIA director John Brennan to brief the president about it, according to Ratcliffe, and for U.S. intelligence officials to forward an investigation referral to the FBI in September 2016. Earlier this year, the intelligence community declassified a series of footnotes to the Horowitz report that showed other U.S. intelligence officers had warned that Steele?s dossier may contain Russian disinformation. One might expect the FBI?s leadership to be deeply embarrassed about all of this. People such as former FBI Director James Comey have been warning for years about the danger of Russia?s disinformation campaign against the public. The 2017 intelligence community assessment of Russia?s interference in the election of the previous year includes an entire section on Russia?s English-language propaganda station, RT.But in a hearing on Wednesday before the Senate Judiciary Committee, Comey said he had no recollection that Steele?s primary source had been investigated for being a Russian spy or that U.S. intelligence officers referred the intelligence on Russia?s assessment of Clinton?s campaign strategy to the FBI.None of this is to say that the FBI was colluding with Russia. Rather, it suggests that in their panic over the possibility of a Trump victory in 2016, FBI leaders ? much like many cable news networks ? embraced shoddy and now discredited intelligence to make a case against his campaign. The signs were there that Steele?s research was bunk, but the bureau ignored them.None of this information gets Trump off the hook, either. He has aided and abetted Russian disinformation by repeatedly denying that Russia interfered in the 2016 election. This gives the Russians cover and encouragement to do it all over again this year, which is exactly what the intelligence community has been warning about.In this respect, Trump himself, like the FBI, is a victim of Russian disinformation.This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Eli Lake is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering national security and foreign policy. He was the senior national security correspondent for the Daily Beast and covered national security and intelligence for the Washington Times, the New York Sun and UPI.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinionSubscribe now to stay ahead with the most trusted business news source.©2020 Bloomberg L.P.




• Twitter removes 130 accounts disrupting public conversation during Trump-Biden debate



Twitter removed the accounts, which appeared to originate in Iran, "based on intel" provided by the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), it said in a tweet https://twitter.com/TwitterSafety/status/1311462538056544258. The accounts had very low engagement and did not make an impact on the public conversation, the social media giant said, adding, that the accounts and their content will be published in full once the investigation is complete.




• Twitter removes 130 accounts disrupting public conversation during Trump-Biden debate


• Nigeria turns 60: Can Africa's most populous nation remain united?



Nigeria's greatest challenge on its 60th anniversary remains its diversity, writes Adaobi Tricia Nwaubani.

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• Boris Johnson plans to resign in 6 months because of lingering coronavirus health problems, according to Dominic Cummings father-in-law

Dominic Cummings' father-in-law Sir Humphry Wakefield reportedly told a member of the public that Johnson would stand down early next year.
• Four scenarios on how we might develop immunity to Covid-19

As the world wearies of trying to suppress the SARS-CoV-2 virus, many of us are wondering what the future will look like as we try to...
• Postal Crisis Hits Rural America Hard

The Postal Service is crucial to farmers and rural areas that President Trump won in 2016. Now, residents worry it is being dismantled.
• Gwen Stefani Proves Gavin Rossdale Is Literally Out of the Picture With Edited Photo of Blake Shelton

Gwen Stefani shared a picture of her and Blake Shelton that eagle-eyed fans realized originally included her ex-husband Gavin Rossdale.
• Smoke from Western wildfires has blown thousands of miles to New York

Smoke from severe wildfires burning on the West Coast has blown thousands of miles east, now reaching parts of the Midwest, Canada and...

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